The Blue Sky Report®

Kerrigan Advisors Blue Sky Report

Discover the industry’s most trusted analysis of the buy/sell market and franchise values with Kerrigan Advisors’ Blue Sky Report®, the leading valuation publication in auto retail. The report offers exclusive insights into market trends, dealership buy/sell activity and the firm’s signature franchise blue sky multiples.

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Outlines the high, average and low blue sky multiples for each franchise in the luxury and non-luxury segments
Identifies important buy/sell market trends impacting dealership valuation
Kerrigan Advisors Blue Sky Report

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Highlights from Kerrigan Advisors' 2025 Blue Sky Report®

The latest edition of The Blue Sky Report® underscores the strength of dealership buy/sell activity in 2025, driven by sustained buyer demand amid a constrained supply of sellers. Supported by resilient dealership earnings and improved vehicle affordability fueling steady new vehicle demand, buyers remained highly acquisitive throughout the year, with a particular focus on tuck-in acquisitions to expand regional scale and operational efficiencies.

Key highlights of the report include:

  • The pace of industry consolidation has nearly doubled relative to pre-pandemic levels, driven by stabilizing and, in some cases, rising dealership earnings that continue to support elevated buyer demand.
  • A clear K-shaped dynamic emerged across franchises, with top-performing brands commanding stronger demand and valuations, while weaker brands experienced a high number of divestitures.
  • The majority of acquirers in 2025 focused on expanding local market share, while smaller and mid-sized dealer groups increasingly pursued acquisitions to scale into the Top 150 Largest Dealership Groups, reinforcing the importance of size and regional density.
  • Following the completion of the Asbury–Herb Chambers mega transaction, public dealership groups deployed a combined $4.4 billion to acquire nearly 80 franchises in 2025, the second-highest level on record, with remaining activity concentrated in existing markets and skewed toward import luxury, marquee assets.
  • Blue sky multiple adjustments were limited to select franchises, with changes for Honda, Chevrolet, Ford, Buick GMC, Lexus, BMW, Cadillac  and Audi, reflecting brand-specific performance and buyer sentiment.

Specific trends also discussed in the latest Blue Sky Report®:

  • Consolidators prioritize revenue per rooftop, seeking to acquire higher volume dealerships.
  • Growing dealership groups increasingly consider outside capital to accelerate consolidation.
  • The timing of buyer due diligence is shifting to reflect broader M&A standards.

Total Number of Dealership Transactions

Buy/sell transactions reached record levels in 2025, significantly exceeding pre-pandemic benchmarks. Elevated activity persisted throughout the year, supported by strong earnings performance and continued access to capital among well-positioned buyers. Industry consolidation accelerated further, resulting in increased ownership concentration and a continued decline in total dealer count. This trend reinforces the strategic importance of scale and highlights the competitive intensity within the buy/sell market.

Source: The Banks Report, Automotive News, Kerrigan Advisors’ Research

Kerrigan Blue Sky Index

The Kerrigan Blue Sky Index, a widely recognized indicator of franchise value, increased in 2025, reflecting sustained buyer demand and improved transparency in blue sky pricing. While average blue sky values remain approximately 76% above pre-pandemic levels, valuation dispersion across franchises has become more pronounced. Certain brands, such as Toyota and Lexus, achieved record-high valuations, while others, including Nissan and Infiniti, continued to trade below pre-pandemic levels, illustrating a growing divergence in franchise performance and investor sentiment.

Source: Kerrigan Advisors
Methodology: Benchmarked to 100 at 12/31/2019.

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The above testimonials may not be representative of the experience of other clients and should not be construed as a guarantee of future performance or success.

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